🏈 NFL Predictor v10

Connecting…

Opponent-adjusted EPA ratings · player-level usage & efficiency · learned availability · weather · fitted & walk-forward tested · key-number score + player stat sim

Week board

SeasonWeek

Underdog view (sorted by upset chance)

Game simulation

AwayHomeDate

Away QBHome QB

Home spread (book, e.g. -3.5) Total Wind mph Temp °F Rain mm Away ML Home ML Sims

Blank fields use the nflverse line, projected starter and kickoff forecast. A QB you pick is applied on top of the line as the change from the projected starter.

How good is it?

Loading…

Learning

Loading…

Forecast journal

Saved automatically at T-7d, T-24h and T-90m before kickoff, plus every manual simulation of a scheduled game. Each game is scored once, using its latest pregame snapshot, against the market at that same moment.